Raphael Honigstein’s Bundesliga Betting: Bayern are beatable at home but Hoffenheim should stay undefeated


WEDNESDAY

Bayern Munich v RB Leipzig, 19:00

Bayern and Leipzig are tied on points at the top of the Bundesliga, with Bayern ahead only on goal difference. The champions were poor away at Darmstadt but Douglas Costa’s screamer saved them. Leipzig meanwhile were back in the groove against Hertha on Saturday, winning 2-0.

It’s touch and go whether Bayern forward Arjen Robben will make it but they definitely won’t have Jerome Boateng available due to a shoulder operation. Leipzig also have some defenders missing, most notably Marvin Compper and Marcel Halstenberg. When facing top seven opposition so far this season, Bayern have only claimed one win from five games. As Leipzig coach Ralph Hasenhüttl put it, Bayern are not an unbeatable opponent. He’s got a point, particularly in comparison to previous seasons. Such is the way that Leipzig have played this season, back them to earn at least a point at the Allianz Arena, with an away win or draw priced at 2.80.

 

FC Ingolstadt v SC Freiburg, 19:00

It was testament to Freiburg’s recent defensive improvement that they were able to get a draw at Schalke. It followed up quite neatly on their point at Bayer Leverkusen a couple of weeks before yet Ingolstadt did even better at the BayArena on Sunday. Their 2-1 win made it 10 points in five games under new coach Maik Walpurgis, who’s performing above expectations in his first Bundesliga coaching role. This will be a tight encounter down in Bavaria but such is the home side’s momentum, back them to nick all three points at 2.25.

 

TSG Hoffenheim v SV Werder Bremen, 19:00

Hoffenheim couldn’t finish off Dortmund on Friday night but it’s still remarkable that they might reach the winter break unbeaten. The suspended Sebastian Rudy won’t be able to help them out against Werder Bremen after he picked up a fifth yellow card.

Bremen did well to earn a draw against Cologne but they were helped by a poor piece of goalkeeping. If they’re to get points here, they need to find the level of performance that saw them win in Berlin just over a week ago. Yet Hoffenheim might be slightly fresher having had a day longer to prepare. In any case, they should have too much for Bremen. Back a home win at half time and full time at 2.48.

 

1. FC Köln v Bayer Leverkusen, 19:00

Leverkusen coach Roger Schmidt is in real trouble. His team are seven points off the Champions League places and their performances in the Bundesliga of late have been lamentable. You’d think then that this Rhein derby couldn’t be coming at a better time for Cologne who are unbeaten at home this season. However, they are missing six first-team regulars. They’ve only beaten Leverkusen once at home in the last 20 years but Leverkusen are so listless at present that it’s worth backing Cologne at 2.90.

 

Hertha BSC v SV Darmstadt 98, 19:00

It was in Berlin last season that Darmstadt secured their unlikely survival. Those memories will be fading fast though with the Lilies sat on the bottom of the table at present. They were unfortunate though not to get something against league leaders Bayern Munich on Sunday – the second performance in a row where they perhaps haven’t got what they deserved. Hertha on the other hand have been below par in their last two games but they’re still very firmly in the hunt for a Champions League place. There should a few goals here, with over 2.5 at 2.04, and you’d expect that Hertha will score more of them than Darmstadt.